Tag Archives: Coronavirus

How much did Covid-19 change our risk of death?

When I looked at excess deaths before, I didn’t think to actually notice what the normal rates of death in each age group look like, and how comparable or otherwise the age distribution of covid deaths (or excess deaths) was … Continue reading

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Thoughts on the Great Barrington Declaration

Three epidemiologists have proposed a different approach to managing the covid pandemic, in the form of the Great Barrington Declaration: “The most compassionate approach that balances the risks and benefits of reaching herd immunity, is to allow those who are … Continue reading

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Be more afraid?

I recently read a very disturbing Guardian piece detailing the goings-on in an Austrian ski resort back in March, through interviews with people who had been there. It seems this resort (Ischgl) was a hotbed of transmission at that time … Continue reading

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Pandemic deaths analysis

I did some analysis of deaths over this pandemic (because I’m morbid like that). I calculated expected “normal” deaths for every week of 2020, based on 10-year-average age-specific death rates for each specific week of the year applied to the … Continue reading

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Is lockdown worthwhile?

It’s so strange to find myself philosophically estranged from most of my social circle in the sense that everyone seems to be heavily pro-lockdown while I’m more of a sceptic. Disturbingly, the non-pro-lockdown voices being heard are mostly libertarian / … Continue reading

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Rules and fear

It’s been interesting to see how fully and swiftly a lot of people adopt imposed rules as an entire way of being in this pandemic crisis. I’ve just joined a Facebook group for people shielding (i.e. very high-risk people who … Continue reading

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Peak

Supposedly we’re at the peak of the Covid-19 outbreak now, or just past it. The concept of “the peak” entered discourse in mid-March, in talk of measures to “delay” it with social and behavioural interventions. At the time, we were … Continue reading

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Strategies, national and personal

So here is what I understand… China, South Korea, Singapore have actually managed to contain Coronavirus, through either really stringent lockdowns and/or painstaking contact tracing and extensive testing. (I suppose the populations remain vulnerable, but any further outbreaks will be … Continue reading

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